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Week 11 was a week full of bad breaks and we finished with one of our few losing weeks of the entire year. The final tally was 5-8 but could have easily been a winning week if we caught a few breaks. The Denver Broncos allowed a late touchdown that everyone thought should have been overturned to only win by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite, while the Carolina Panthers surrended a lead in the final seconds to lose in overtime as a 1.5-point favorite. All we can do is put the bad luck behind us and look ahead to week 12.
Record against the point spread: 70-51
Oakland Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals -8
The Raiders can't do anything right on either side of the ball and seem likely to lose by double digits once again.
Pittsburgh Steelers -1 at Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh can't move the ball without Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback and I'll take the home underdog here.
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts -3
Andrew Luck at home against a defense that can't stop most teams seem like a nice bet.
Denver Broncos -10.5 at Kansas City Chiefs
The Broncos are overrated on defense and I think the Chiefs can stay close in a high-scoring game at home.
Tennessee Titans -4 at Jacksonville Jaguars
I have seen enough Chad Henne to know that last weekend's game against the Texans isn't the norm. Go with Tennessee.
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears Pick
The Bears should have Jay Cutler back at quarterback but the Vikings are winning here no matter who suits up.
Atlanta Falcons -1 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay has been incredible lately but they are simply not as good as the Falcons. Take Atlanta.
Seattle Seahawks -3 at Miami Dolphins
Miami can't do anything correct lately and their quarterback is mistake-prone. That is terrible news against one of the elite NFL defenses and Seattle should roll.
Baltimore Ravens -1 at San Diego Chargers
San Diego needs a win and Baltimore could be the most overrated team in the NFL. I love the Chargers as an underdog at home.
San Francisco 49ers -1 at New Orleans Saints
Colin Kaepernick might not be as good as he looked on Monday Night Football but the 49ers could suit up a tackling dummy at quarterback and beat the Saints.
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals -1.5
Arizona can't move the ball. St. Louis can't move the ball. This comes down to which team will turn the ball over the most and I have to think that is the Cardinals with inexperience at quarterback and running back. Take St. Louis.
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants -3
The Giants have not played well lately but they seem to excel at these statement games when everyone else has written them off. Go with New York at home to cover this small point spread.
Carolina Panthers -2.5 at Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia seems to be just about done for the year, but the Panthers are so bad at times that it doesn't take much to beat them. Ultimately I have to go with Carolina because LeSean McCoy seems ready to sit out.