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Week 16 was unfortunately a bad one for us as we went 7-8-1 against the point spread. The Kansas City Chiefs were the one push in week 16 and they somehow managed to find a way to lose by exactly 7 as a 7-point underdog despite putting up over 500+ yards at home while holding the visiting Indianapolis Colts to under 300. Week 17 with wrap up an extremely profitable regular season and we'll cross our fingers for another huge profit heading into the NFL Playoffs.
Record against the point spread: 112-82
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills -3.5
The Jets can't do a whole lot of things right lately, but the Bills make a million mistakes a game as well. Ultimately I can at least trust the Buffalo offense to show up occasionally so I'll go with the home team to cover the odds.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots -10.5
New England's offense is having trouble and I haven't trusted their defense all year long. The Dolphins aren't perfect but run the ball well enough to keep the score close in this one.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
Cincinnati is playing strong football to end the year, while the Ravens still have holes on both sides of the ball. I'll take the home team in what is becoming one of the best divisional rivalry games in the NFL.
Houston Texans -6.5 at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts keep winning with smoke and mirrors but I don't believe they are a playoff-caliber team. Houston is mad after some recent games they should have won and will put together a strong effort heading into the playoffs.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans -4
Tennessee has trouble scoring and stopping people, while the Jaguars can't score at all but at least have a decent defense. I'll gladly take the 4 points in this sloppy game between two of the worst teams in the league.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants -7.5
New York needs this game but has been far too inconsistent this year. The Eagles have Michael Vick back at quarterback but it remains to be seen if the turnover machine from earlier in the year will return with him. Ultimately the Giants can score at will here so I'll go with them and hope Vick chokes another one away before leaving town.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins -3
The Washington Redskins are the sexy team among NFL experts right now, but they still have a poor defense that can't stop anyone. Dallas can score points and in a game like this you take the underdog every time.
Chicago Bears -3 at Detroit Lions
Detroit keeps coming so close to winning before making stupid mistakes to cost them games. That being said, the Lions have the pass rush to eliminate the Bears' offense and the blooming rushing attack to score some points. Detroit wins outright.
Green Bay Packers -3 at Minnesota Vikings
I have made a ton of money taking the Vikings at certain points of the season, but I do not like them here. Green Bay is playing great football and will show who the class of the NFC North is on Sunday.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints -5
The Panthers can't stop anyone from scoring and will give up a million points, but they just might score enough against an equally bad defense to keep the game close. Go with Cam Newton and his band of stragglers.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos -16
If Kansas City can put up 500+ yards and only score 13 points against a poor defense, I don't see them doing any better in a tough road environment against a decent defense. The Broncos score at will and force turnovers en route to a blowout win.
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers -16.5
The Cardinals won't be able to move the ball at all and will constantly set the 49ers up with great field position. San Francisco will turn that into easy touchdowns as they win by 20 or more.
St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks -10.5
The Seahawks have looked like one of the best teams in the NFL over the past 3 weeks, but I feel they are ready for a letdown game. Seattle's offense isn't as strong as it has appeared lately and I believe the Rams can make a game of this.