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Our week 3 NFL predictions went only 8-8 against the Las Vegas point spread and we have plenty of room to improve in week 4. This is the time of the year where there is plenty of tape on each team and we get a really good idea of how strong or weak each squad is. With that knowledge in our pocket, let's move on to what we hope will be winning week 4 NFL predictions.
NFL Record Year-to-Date: 15-17
San Francisco 49ers -3.5 at St. Louis Rams
The 49ers are struggling badly on offense and are going up against a good defense on the road here. That being said, the Rams' offense hasn't impressed me at all and I'm not sure they can move the ball on Thursday night. Ultimately our picks have to go with the Rams at home as an underdog in a game that could be a defensive struggle.
Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 at Minnesota Vikings
The Steelers don't have any offense but Minnesota can't play defense. Pittsburgh's defense should frustrate the one-dimensional Vikings and the Steelers will pick up their win of the year.
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 at Buffalo Bills
Baltimore doesn't have the top-end defense they've had for years and that could allow the Bills to keep this one close at home, but ultimately it's too much, too soon for the young E.J. Manuel. Look for the Ravens to win comfortably.
Cincinnati Bengals -4 at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland's defense is one of the best in the NFL and their offense seems to be capable of moving the ball with Brian Hoyer at quarterback. The Bengals are only average on both sides of the ball and I'll gladly take the home team as an underdog here.
Indianapolis Colts -8.5 at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Colts were impressive last time out but their defense is still below average and they are going up against a tough Jacksonville defense on the road. The Colts will probably win but they won't cover the point spread and an outright upset wouldn't shock me.
Seattle Seahawks -2.5 at Houston Texans
The Seahawks struggled badly on the road against decent defenses last year and I don't think much has changed. The offense won't move the ball and Russell Wilson will give up some turnovers as the Texans get back on track in a big way.
Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5
These teams have both looked terrible so far this year but the Cardinals are the team I'm convinced is most likely to stay bad. Play the Buccaneers and new quarterback Mike Glennon who fits the passing game better than Josh Freeman.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions -3
I personally believe both of these teams are overrated but I have to go with Detroit at home here. The Chicago defense is much worse than last season and their offense is making it work with smoke and mirrors.
New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs -4
It doesn't get much worse than last weekend for the New York Giants but I can't believe they are truly that bad. Kansas City isn't a team that wins in blowout fashion so I have to take the underdog and hope they show up.
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans -3.5
New York's defense isn't going to give the Titans anything in this game and I'll gladly take a 3.5-point underdog in a defensive battle where points will be at a premium.
Dallas Cowboys -2 at San Diego Chargers
We've won quite a bit of money on the Chargers this season and will keep it rolling in week 4. San Diego will win at home against a Cowboys team that hasn't shown consistency since Troy Aikman and Emmitt Smith were around.
Washington Redskins -3.5 at Oakland Raiders
The Raiders have a terrible offensive line but Terrelle Pryor's legs have helped mask it. With Pryor doubtful to play you should expect the Raiders to struggle to move the ball - even against the NFL's worst defense.
Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos -10.5
The Broncos are going to score 40 points here and that might not be enough to cover the point spread. The Eagles can score at will on Denver as well and 10.5 is just too large of a point spread for a shootout where both teams are offensively capable.
New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons -2
The Patriots are doing what they can with their limited weapons and I think they can exploit on of the NFL's worst secondaries thus far in this game. Atlanta won't have Steven Jackson at running back and they simply haven't looked right.
Miami Dolphins at New Orleans Saints -6.5
These undefeated teams have both looked good but the Saints should be able to pick their margin of victory here. Ryan Tannehill won't do well on the road in this pressure environment and the Saints should win by at least 10.