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Although we correctly picked 3 of 4 winning teams in our NFL predictions last week, we only ended up at 2-2 against the point spread. The San Francisco 49ers and the New Orleans Saints covered the betting odds in the Divisional Round, while the Denver Broncos didn't win by enough points and the Indianapolis Colts didn't stick with the New England Patriots like we expected. It's tough to argue with the fact that the 4 remaining teams are the best in the NFL this season and our predictions on the AFC and NFC Championship Games are below.
NFL Record Year-to-Date: 112-95-4
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos -5.5
Denver was up huge in the regular season meeting between these teams before falling apart in the 4th quarter as the Patriots won 34-31 in overtime. I have question marks about both of these defenses but feel that the Broncos have the far more reliable offense. Tom Brady and company are still tough but without Rob Gronkowski they are a bit limited. New England has wide receivers Aaron Dobson and Kenbrell Thompkins listed as questionable for the AFC Championship Game and I just don't feel the Patriots will have enough healthy weapons to match the offensive onslaught that Peyton Manning and company will produce. Look for Denver to get revenge at home as they advance to the Super Bowl with a 45-31 victory.
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks -3.5
The NFC Championship Game is tough to make predictions on considering how differently the 49ers have played in Seattle over the past two seasons. San Francisco has bested the Seahawks at home this season and the last but they've been destroyed while traveling to Seattle the last two seasons as well. Seattle won't be able to move the ball much against the 49ers with Percy Harvin ruled out with a concussion so a low-scoring game is to be expected. San Francisco wasn't letting quarterback Colin Kaepernick run earlier in the season when these teams played and his mobility will play a large part in deciding which NFC teams advances to the Super Bowl on Sunday. Ultimately I believe the 49ers will be more prepared this time around their ability to open up the playbook in round 3 will prove pivotal. Seattle drives won't go anywhere and San Francisc will win a field goal fest 16-13.