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Our NFL betting predictions have been killing Las Vegas sportsbooks for years and we are back for another season with a similar gameplan. Last year we went 114-96-4 against the point spread which was actually down from 124-91 the year before but still a very profitable season for everyone involved. Our 2-year tally puts us at 238-187-4 which puts us at 56% WHILE PICKING EVERY SINGLE GAME! For comparison, NFL bettors who only play a few predictions every week strive to get to this winning percentage and we are doing it while not just taking our favorite picks but every single game on the board.
NFL Record Year-to-Date: 0-0
New Orleans Saints -3 at Atlanta Falcons
The Saints figure to score a million points once again this season but the Falcons will be much more potent with receivers Julio Jones and Roddy White healthy. Take the Falcons at home as an underdog as they figure to keep this shootout close by matching touchdowns.
Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams -3
The Rams lost starting quarterback Sam Bradford for the season but still have a top 3 defense in the NFL. With the Vikings learning Norv Turner's new offense I can't imagine them starting fast, and St. Louis shutting them out is a real possibility. Bet on the Rams at home as they win with defense.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers -7
The Browns don't figure to light the world on fire on offense but their defense is good enough to stop most teams. Closely matched division rivals tend to play in close games so I'm going with Cleveland to cover at these big odds in a defensive battle.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles -10.5
The Jaguars were awful last season and they don't figure to be much improved this year with top draft pick Blake Bortles "redshirting" for his first year in the NFL. Philadelphia will score at will against this defense and I can't see Jacksonville finding enough offense to keep up on the scoreboard.
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets -5
Oakland once again paid to bring in a quarterback and for the second year in a row that new addition has lost out on the starting job. Last year was Matt Flynn and this year it was Matt Schaub who failed to impress in the preseason. The Raiders are starting a rookie on the road against a very good defense so I think the Jets win comfortably here.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens -1.5
Baltimore's defense let them down far too often last season and I haven't seen enough new faces to make me think much will change this year. The Bengals are better on both sides of the ball and win outright as an underdog here.
Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears -6.5
The Bills will once again be run-based offensively this year and that makes them an interesting matchup for a Chicago team that sometimes struggles to defend. The Bears are going to score plenty of points this year with that offense and I think they'll get up enough points where the Bills will be forced to abandon their rushing attack at some point. Asking E.J. Manuel to keep Buffalo in the game is asking for disaster so go with Chicago.
Washington Redskins at Houston Texans -3
The Texans were one of the worst teams in football last season but they lost a lot of close games and figure to have one of the elite defenses in the NFL in 2014. Washington still has no defense so even Houston's iffy offense should be able to move the ball. The Texans get off to a nice start in 2014 with a double digit home win.
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs -3.5
The Chiefs are a scary team to wager on right now with a good portion of their offensive line on the sidelines. Kansas City will still have a nice defense to rely on but Tennessee figures to be one of the most improved teams in the NFL this season and I think they can manage to only lose by 3 on Sunday.
New England Patriots -4 at Miami Dolphins
Tom Brady and the Patriots are much better off offensively than they were last season and Miami hasn't done enough to improve. The Dolphins have some key defenders missing action for this one and I think New England reminds their divisional rival just who rules the roost in the AFC East with a 10-point victory.
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
The Buccaneers don't deserve to be favored here. They have an on-the-rise defense and a shiny new quarterback in Josh McCown but ultimately the team is only average on both sides of the ball. Carolina might have some problems offensively early with the departue of longtime wide receiver Steve Smith but I can't see Tampa Bay moving the ball at all. Go with the road underdog.
San Francisco 49ers -4 at Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys figure to score a million points while displaying absolutely no defense at all. The 49ers are down on the defensive side of the ball but their offense figures to keep them most games. Look for San Francisco to pull out a narrow win with both teams scoring over 30. The bet here is on the Cowboys in a close game.
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos -7.5
Two of the top quarterbacks in the NFL meet up in week 1 but I think the Colts are the play to make in this AFC matchup. Peyton Manning and the Broncos should score plenty of points but the Colts and Andrew Luck are nearly as dangerous. Look for highlights aplenty as the Broncos win by 4.
New York Giants at Detroit Lions -6.5
New York has no offensive line at all and are going up against one of the top defensive lines in football. That's about all you need to know. Lions by 20.
San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals -3
The Chargers are a threat offensively but their defense has numerous problems. Arizona just lost starting running back Andre Ellington for a few weeks and are not as dangerous offensively, although they should still be able to move the ball. Teams don't do well on the road against the Cardinals so I'm going with Arizona to win by 6.