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Week 10 didn't quite go as planned. Louisville blew a late lead against Florida State, both Arizona State and TCU failed to cover, and Ole Miss loss because of a freak injury as they were going in for the score that would have given them the late lead. Nothing really went well, but we are back with some winning predictions as we head into the Week 11 college football schedule.
College Football Year-to-Date Record: 21-25
No. 12 Baylor at No. 15 Oklahoma -5
The Bears have a tough assignment on their hands, but it's tough to pick the Sooners given their recent level of play. Oklahoma, on paper, has a far superior defense, and I'd give them a slight edge offensively as well. Baylor hasn't been tested by many quality defenses this season, so I'll take the Sooners and hope they finally play to their talent level.
No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 9 Arizona State -2.5
Both teams have impressed me with their play recently, but I feel that Notre Dame is a tick better on both sides of the football. The Fighting Irish have a legitimate top 10 football team for the first time in a decade or more, so I'm calling for them to win outright on the road.
No. 7 Kansas State at No. 6 TCU -6
The Horned Frogs have made us all sorts of money this season, but Las Vegas is finally catching on as to how good this team is. The value is completely gone on TCU now, and the bet is on the Wildcats. Kansas State has an offense with massive potential and their running attack should slow down the game, which supports a bet on the underdog. The Horned Frogs only win by three.
No. 5 Alabama -6.5 at No. 16 LSU
LSU has been lucky to get a few of their wins this season, and I think Alabama makes a big statement here. The Tigers are not as good as they have been in recent years and I don't particularly trust their offense to move the ball against a team as strong as the Crimson Tide. Alabama wins in a rout.
No. 14 Ohio State at No. 8 Michigan State -3.5
This Big Ten rivalry game might be the best matchup on the board in week 11. The Buckeyes simply don't have an offense that I trust enough to move the ball with any regularlity against a top defense like Michigan State. The Spartans can get a little stale offensively themselves, but they're a better team, so you have to think they cover the small point spread at home.
No. 4 Oregon -8 at No. 17 Utah
We bet against Utah last week and lost but that won't stop us from going against them again. The Utes don't pass the ball particularly well, and I can't see a team this one-dimensional keeping up with the high-scoring Ducks attack. Oregon could turn the ball over a few times and still win this game by double digits.