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169-94 (5-3 playoff record)
Seattle over Green Bay: You can read my in-depth preview here. In short, the Seahawks will make the key fourth quarter plays, while their pass rush harasses a one-legged Aaron Rodgers.
New England over Indianapolis: Admittedly, I don’t have a good read on the Colts. Last week, I thought Denver was going to blow them out of the building. I feel the same this week. The Patriots should be able to run the ball at will, with LeGarrette Blount having a monster game. In addition, the Colts don’t have a defender capable of matching up with Rob Gronkowski. They do have Andrew Luck, though. If the Colts make this game close or pull the upset, it’ll be because Luck has a coming of age performance.
4-4 (4-4 playoff record)
Seattle over Green Bay: The Seahawks will defend their Super Bowl title with a 21-17 victory over the Packers. Seattle’s defense will control Green Bay’s high-octane offense, due in part to Rodgers’ calf injury. His reduced mobility against the NFL’s No. 1 defense gives Green Bay very little opportunity to score points. Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch will do just enough to move the Seahawks into the Super Bowl.
Indianapolis over New England: I like the Colts to upset the Patriots 31-28 in New England. Indianapolis’ offensive line has turned a corner; a two-pronged attack is possible, with Luck's passing and the running of Daniel Herron. Herron is a dual-threat out of the backfield and Luck is a big, strong quarterback capable of standing in the pocket or extending a play under pressure. Pressure on Tom Brady and his receivers will negate the efficiency of New England’s offense. You can read more about what I think of the game by clicking here.
171-92 (3-5 playoff record)
Seattle over Green Bay: The Packers rarely beat teams with top-tier defenses. I’m supposed to believe they can go into one of the toughest venues and knock off Seattle with Rodgers barely able to move in the pocket or scramble for yardage. The Seahawks will thoroughly trounce them.
New England over Indianapolis: The Colts don’t have a defense. New England does. Beating a team that relies on Peyton Manning when Manning has a badly damaged quadriceps doesn’t impress me. The Colts won’t be able to cover Gronkowski, while Darrelle Revis will takeaway T.Y. Hilton. New England wins easily.